George Mason Patriots (4-3) vs. James Madison Dukes (4-3)
The 2024-25 college basketball betting action goes on Friday, November 29, with the George Mason Patriots squaring off against the James Madison Dukes in the non-conference battle at Atlantic Union Bank Center in Harrisonburg, VA.
The Patriots meet the Dukes for the first time since November 19, 2021, when James Madison outlasted George Mason 67-64 as a 2.5-point underdog. Can the Dukes grab another win over the Patriots? Read more about this George Mason vs. James Madison prediction.
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George Mason shoots for its third straight W
The George Mason Patriots are back to winning ways. After a couple of heartbreaking losses against Central Michigan 70-69 and East Carolina 78-77 in double overtime, the Patriots have won consecutive games over Coppin State 93-55 and Ferrum 100-55.
The Patriots cruised past the Division III Ferrum Panthers last Saturday. George Mason went 13-for-35 from beyond the arc and committed just five turnovers. Against Coppin State, the Patriots made 60.4% of their field goals (9-for-21 from deep) while posting a 16/10 assist-to-turnover ratio.
George Mason leans on its defense. The Patriots allow 99.5 points per 100 possessions (69th in the country) on a 40.2 effective field goal percentage (6th). They score 109.0 points per 100 possessions (105th), and two players average points in double figures (Darius Maddox 14.9, Giovanni Emejuru 11.6).
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James Madison hopes to finally win consecutive games
The James Madison Dukes have gone 4-3 SU thus far, without winning consecutive games. They are coming off the Boardwalk Battle in Daytona Beach, FL, where the Dukes sandwiched a 73-67 defeat against UC San Diego with a pair of wins over UIC 99-81 and Jacksonville State 71-65.
The Dukes are coming off Saturday’s six-point victory against the Gamecocks. James Madison went 11-for-27 from beyond the arc and turned the ball over just eight times. Junior guard Xavier Brown led the way for the Dukes with 18 points, four assists, and four steals, and he’s now averaging 15.3 points and 3.0 assists on the young season.
James Madison has four players with points per game north of 11.0. The Dukes score 107.5 points per 100 possessions (128th in the country) while surrendering 104.2 points in return (140th). They are 326th in opposing effective field goal percentage (56.4%).
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Best Bets for George Mason vs. James Madison (JMU)
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On paper, George Mason is a much better defensive team than James Madison. However, the Patriots’ last two games are not a proper benchmark. Keep in mind that Coppin State is one of the worst Division I teams.
According to KenPom, the Patriots’ schedule ranks 323rd in the nation, whereas the Dukes’ schedule is 140th. We should see a close game, and I think that James Madison has more offensive weapons than George Mason.
The Patriots might miss their starting guard Jared Billups (7.2 PPG, 7.6 RPG), who’s in the concussion protocol. The Dukes are a much better rebounding team than George Mason, and Billups’ eventual absence will hurt the Patriots a lot. Billups has missed the last two games.
Prediction: James Madison Dukes ATS
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George Mason is 313th in the nation in defensive rebounding percentage (65.0%), whereas James Madison ranks fifth in this category (80.3%). When it comes to offensive rebounding, the Patriots are 25th (37.6%), and the Dukes are 64th (35.1%).
With both teams crushing the boards, we should see a lot of second-chance points. The Dukes lean on 3-point shooting. They are 36th in 3-point rate (.477) and 43rd in 3-point percentage (38.1%). I’m going with the over even though neither side plays at a fast pace. The over is 10-4 in the last 14 encounters between George Mason and James Madison.
Prediction: Over
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Viktor "The Viking" Allenson has been slaying the books for many years now. He has hammered the lines in all sports including basketball, football, soccer, MMA and baseball. The Viking's strength is his versatility and research in all sports. He also has the ability to find soft lines that the public loves and goes the other way.
